Too Many Options: Macro Focus, $VIX and $SPY

TMO

Single stock options volume was much more muted relative to options volume in macro instruments for protection, like SPY puts and VIX calls. VIX - Apr VIX expiry is on Wednesday morning, so Apr … [Read more...]

Chart of the Day – American Exceptionalism, $SPY and $TLT

Courtesy of Bloomberg

I've spoken to many traders recently who have pointed out the strength in bonds.  Though they've all noticed that bonds are flat in 2 months as stocks are higher, the reactions have been … [Read more...]

TMO – The Italian Connection

TMO

The market opened higher on Italian election results until it turned out Berlusconi still had a chance.  The S&P 500 hovered around 1500 until it broke it and broke hard. 1) SPY - taking up … [Read more...]

Too Many Options: Lowest $SPY Volume Since Christmas Eve

TMO

On a day that saw the lowest SPY volume since 12/24/2012, index ETFs traded a good bit of protection. AAPL - Call to put ratio near 2 today, as the weekly 500 calls traded around 40k on the day. … [Read more...]

New Trade $SPY – #ForeverUp

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So the SPX finally breached the 1500 level this morning, a rare feat for the index over the last 15 years.  The debate has heated up in the last week as we've neared this level.  Is this finally the … [Read more...]

Trade Update $SPY: Options to Consider on Weekly Put Spread

update

Trade Update Dec 10th, 2012:  Almost 2 weeks ago when it seemed like the month of December was going to be littered with daily price swings related to the horse-trading in Washington and the dramatic … [Read more...]

Enis’s Macro Wrap – 1400 Holds the Key

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As I wrote about in TMO last night, the option activity that stood out like a sore thumb yesterday involved the SPY Nov 140 puts.  That line traded almost 350,000 times yesterday, more than double … [Read more...]

Chart of the Day – Russell vs. S&P 500, More Evidence the Top is In

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I posted the Nasdaq 100 vs. SPX index on Oct. 19th, going back 3 years, and posited that it was evidence that the market had put in a major top.  Here is another chart that offers supporting evidence … [Read more...]

Chart of the Day – $AAPL and $AMZN, Winners on Deck

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Here is a chart of AAPL, AMZN, and the SPY over the last 3 years:     The 40% gains in the SPY look miniscule in comparison.  And while AMZN is generally viewed as a huge … [Read more...]

Chart of the Day – EEM vs. SPY

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Today's chart should be taken with a grain of salt.  I don't mean to present it here as evidence that we should be braced for an imminent fall.  But similar to yesterday's chart, it is just one more … [Read more...]

What’s the Story

durable-goods

WSJ U.S. stock futures leaned lower on the back of a mixed report on durable goods and continued concerns about Europe’s debt crisis and slowing economy. About 45 minutes ahead of the open, Dow … [Read more...]

Enis’s Macro Wrap – How You Measure the Market

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Dan and I had a discussion yesterday about the proper way to gauge this market.  The cause for our discussion was the increasing divergence between the Russell 2000 index and the S&P 500 index. … [Read more...]

Enis’s Macro Wrap – August Expiry

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The SPX closed a few points from a new closing high, and has a new high well in its sights at this point.  Though I have not posted any of my many risk-on / risk-off indicators in the past couple … [Read more...]

Chart of the Day – High Beta Underperforming Low Beta

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While index prices have marched significantly higher, this is not the type of market where a rising tide lifts all boats.  Many boats are being left behind, evidenced by new highs vs. new lows (a … [Read more...]

Enis’s Macro Wrap – Europe for the Umpteenth Time

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After another extremely quiet day yesterday, price action overnight has the feel of the usual European panic that we have seen so many times in the past 2 years.  The Euro is back below 1.22, Italian … [Read more...]

Trade Update CAT – Taking off Half for More than a Double

Trade Update July 16, 2012 at 11:10 am:  Since buying the CAT Aug 85/75 put spread for 2.25 on May 24th, the stock has moved almost 15% lower as Chinese weakness has become more widely acknowledged. … [Read more...]