MorningWord 4/5/13: Your Guess Is Probably Better Than Mine #NFPGuesses

MorningWord

MorningWord 4/5/13:  Since the depths of the financial crisis, long prior to QE 1,2 2.5 & 3, there has been a fun little parlor game taking place on almost every trading floor on the first Friday … [Read more...]

MorningWord 4/4/13: $MSFT Losing Support From A Longtime Bull

MorningWord

MorningWord 4/4/13:  This morning Bank of America Merrill Lynch downgraded their rating on MSFT from Buy to Hold, their first rating change on the shares since September 2008.   The re-rating … [Read more...]

MorningWord 4/3/13: Breakdown? Breakthrough! – $SPX

MorningWord

MorningWord 4/3/13:  At this stage of the bull market, as the Dow and the SPX make new all time highs on a daily basis, it is gonna take a bit more than dart throwing on the long side of the trade to … [Read more...]

Name That Trade $HPQ – A $20 Billion Market Cap Gain

NameThatTrade

HPQ is another of the many left-for-dead stocks (NFLX and BBY among those that we've most discussed) that has quickly doubled over the past 6 months.  But HPQ stands out because it is by far the … [Read more...]

MorningWord 4/2/13: $HPQ’s Management Haven’t Been Properly Incentivized…Till Now

MorningWord

MorningWord 4/2/13:  Yesterday I read an interesting post on Barron's Tech Trader Daily Blog detailing a research note from a MS hardware analyst Huberty titled, "HPQ: New Exec Incentives Could Boost … [Read more...]

$HPQ Fiscal Q1 Earnings Preview

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Event: HPQ reports fiscal 2013 Q1 earnings tomorrow after the close.  The options market is implying about a 6.5% move on earnings, which is shy of the 7.5% average over the last 4 … [Read more...]

Trading Diary: Nov 21st – 25th

tradingDIARY

Last week the SPX had a rough three and half days of trading where Monday's opening tick was practically the high and Friday's shortened 1pm close was the the dead low.  World debt and equity markets … [Read more...]

HPQ: I Think Meg Will Lay an Egg on Her First Quarterly Call Monday Night

whitman

This is a preview of what I will be discussing on Options Action tonight: HPQ reports their fiscal Q4 on Monday Nov 21st after the close.  The options market is implying about a 7% move following … [Read more...]

2ndUpdate: HPQ- Buying the Move Into Earnings Aug 18th. Implied Move Looks Fair to Cheap

Update Aug 8, 2011:  I am closing The Aug 34/31 Put Spread that was .65 in the money that I essentially legged into for .78 and was in the money.  I am selling this at 1.95 with the stock at … [Read more...]

Update: HPQ- Buying the Move Into Earnings Aug 18th. Implied Move Looks Fair to Cheap

Update Aug 4, 2011: With HPQ now below the Aug 34 Put  ($33.35) that I am long And 8% away from the Aug 36 call strike I am long, I am going to sell the Aug 36 call at .26 and look to leg into a Put … [Read more...]

HPQ: Buying the Move Into Earnings Aug 18th. Implied Move Looks Fair to Cheap

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HPQ ($34.80)  reports their fiscal Q3 on Aug 18th after the close. -The options market is currently implying about a 5%  move following earnings vs the 4 qtr average move of about 5.3%.   … [Read more...]

DELL Reports Tonight, Bearish Structure With Little Premium Outlay

delldude

DELL (16.10) reports after the close tonight. -options market is implying about a 7% move* which is rich to the average ~5% move following the last 4 quarters. … [Read more...]

UPDATED: HPQ Q4 Earnings Feb 22, Make No Mistake About It, LEO Is Following the HURD.

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